crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$175.4K
Liquidity
$128.3K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 93%, $24.2K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Probability
93%
24h Volume
$24.2K
Liquidity
$3.1K
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will Bitcoin be higher at the end of the June 7, 4:00 PM to 8:00 PM ET window than it was at the start? The result depends on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so the relevant price is the oracle feed value, not necessarily a chart from a crypto exchange or a wallet app.
The title sets a four-hour comparison window on June 7, from 4:00 PM to 8:00 PM ET, and the market resolves to "Up" if the BTC/USD price at the end of that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. If the ending Chainlink reading is lower, the market resolves to "Down." The source of truth is explicitly Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream at the listed URL, which matters because the outcome is tied to that oracle feed rather than to any single exchange, index, or spot market quote.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid asset, but its price can move meaningfully even over a few hours, especially around U.S. trading hours, macro headlines, or crypto-specific catalysts. The market is essentially pricing whether BTC will finish this short interval above or below its starting oracle value, and the live order book shows a clear lean toward "Up" while still leaving room for a move in either direction.
Any sharp BTC move during the 4:00 PM to 8:00 PM ET window can change the outcome, since the market compares only the start and end readings. Sudden shifts in risk appetite, large crypto selloffs or rallies, and volatility around U.S. market close can matter because they may affect the Chainlink BTC/USD stream at the exact timestamps used for resolution. Because the market is based on the oracle feed, what matters most is the BTC/USD value reported there at the start and finish of the window, not intraday highs or lows.
The current market price implies roughly a 93% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$175.4K
Liquidity
$128.3K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact start and end timestamps in ET, then check how Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream defines the reference price at those two moments. The main ambiguity risk is source matching: the market does not resolve off a general spot price, a single exchange, or a chart snapshot, but off the specified Chainlink data stream. If there is any question about the final reading or timestamp handling, the market rules and the Chainlink feed documentation should be treated as the deciding references.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 93%, $24.2K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
92.5%
Down
7.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 93%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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