crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
100%
+1.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?
24h Vol
$317.7K
Liquidity
$48.2K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $21.2K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$21.2K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD reading will finish higher or lower over a four-hour window on June 8, from 12:00 AM to 4:00 AM ET. It is a short-horizon price move question, so even modest swings can decide the outcome.
The market resolves to “Up” if the BTC/USD value at the end of the stated window is greater than or equal to the value at the start; otherwise it resolves to “Down.” The key detail is that the reference price comes from Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not from a cryptocurrency exchange, a charting site, or any other spot price feed. The window ends on June 8 at 4:00 AM ET, and the market’s resolution should follow the data stream’s readings for that exact interval.
Bitcoin can move quickly over a few hours, especially around liquidity changes, macro news, or crypto-specific headlines, so a narrow time window like this leaves genuine uncertainty. The market is effectively pricing a simple directional disagreement: whether BTC/USD on Chainlink will be at least flat to higher by the end of the interval, or whether it will have slipped lower. Because the rule uses one specific oracle feed, traders also care about whether that feed tracks the market cleanly throughout the period.
Any sudden BTC move during the four-hour window can change the outcome, including sharp spot-market swings, volatility around U.S. market hours, or broader risk-on/risk-off shifts that spill into crypto. Since the market is tied to Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream, the important thing is not just where Bitcoin trades generally, but how that oracle feed updates across the start and end points of the window. A brief spike or drop near either boundary can matter more than the broader intraday trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+1.3%
24h Vol
$317.7K
Liquidity
$48.2K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the exact start and end time in ET and how Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream records the opening and closing values for that interval. Readers should also note the explicit rule that resolution follows Chainlink data, so discrepancies between exchange prices and the oracle feed should not be used to judge the outcome. If the feed is delayed, interrupted, or ambiguous around the boundary timestamps, those details matter for how the market should be interpreted.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $21.2K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
+0.1%
24h Vol
$193.5K
Liquidity
$128K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market
+11.5%
24h Vol
$815.5K
Liquidity
$123.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View market
-0.2%
24h Vol
$57.6K
Liquidity
$23.5K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market-0.4%
24h Vol
$64.9K
Liquidity
$31.2K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View market-8%
24h Vol
$33.2K
Liquidity
$62.6K
Spread
1%
1/1/2027
View market