crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
100%
+10.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?
24h Vol
$394.9K
Liquidity
$138.5K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $20.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$20.7K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Bitcoin, as measured by Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, finished the June 8, 4:00AM–8:00AM ET window higher than it started. Because it uses a specific on-chain data source and a short four-hour interval, the result can differ from what traders see on a spot exchange or chart elsewhere. That makes the exact timestamp and reference feed the key things to watch.
The outcome is simple: if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning, the market resolves to “Up”; otherwise it resolves to “Down.” The title’s date and time matter because the comparison is only for that exact four-hour slice on June 8, from 4:00AM to 8:00AM Eastern Time. The resolution source is explicitly the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream at the link provided in the market rules, not an exchange close, not an index from another provider, and not a general market average.
Short-window Bitcoin direction markets are often unsettled because even modest moves can flip the result, especially when the source is a single reference feed rather than a broad blended price. Readers care because Bitcoin can move quickly around the open of a time window, and small differences between feeds can change whether the interval ends up above or below its starting point. The market is pricing disagreement about whether the Chainlink reference price during that specific morning window will end higher or lower.
Any move in the Chainlink BTC/USD stream during the four-hour window can move the market, including a quick breakout, a sharp pullback, or a mostly flat drift that leaves the end price near the start. Because this is a narrow interval, changes in volatility matter more than longer-term Bitcoin trends; a brief spike early or late in the window could still determine the final outcome. The live order book also matters for the market price itself, and the current bid-ask spread gives a sense of how tightly traders are balancing the two outcomes.
Related markets
+10.5%
24h Vol
$394.9K
Liquidity
$138.5K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important check is the exact Chainlink BTC/USD value at the start and end timestamps for the June 8, 4:00AM–8:00AM ET window. If there is any ambiguity, the market rules say the Chainlink stream is the source of truth, so readers should verify that feed rather than rely on a chart from another exchange or a different price index. The end date shown on the page is the deadline for this resolution window, and the safest interpretation comes from the market description itself, especially the statement that “Up” includes a final price equal to the starting price.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $20.7K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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