crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?
24h Vol
$175.6K
Liquidity
$80.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $33.9K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$33.9K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple but very specific question: did Bitcoin finish the June 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET window higher than where it started? Because it uses a short intraday range, even modest swings in BTC can decide whether the outcome is Up or Down.
The title refers to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, and the four-hour period from 4:00PM to 8:00PM Eastern Time on June 8. The market resolves to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning, and to "Down" if it is lower. The official source of truth is the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream at data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd, so the relevant price is the Chainlink feed rather than any exchange quote or chart elsewhere.
Short-window Bitcoin markets can move around news, macro headlines, liquidations, or broad crypto sentiment during the exact hours in question, and that creates uncertainty about where the price will end relative to where it began. Readers care because Bitcoin is often volatile over a few hours, but this market is narrowly defined enough that the starting and ending feed values matter more than the full-day trend. The disagreement here is not about whether Bitcoin is generally up or down over time, but whether this particular four-hour slice closes above or below its opening level on the specified feed.
Any sharp move in BTC during the 4:00PM-8:00PM ET window can change the result, especially if price crosses back and forth near the opening level. Large spot moves, derivatives liquidations, or a sudden shift in risk sentiment can matter because the market only cares about the comparison between the first and last Chainlink values in the window. Since the spread is relatively tight and the market is concentrated on a single short time band, late moves near the close can be especially important.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$175.6K
Liquidity
$80.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the exact Chainlink BTC/USD stream value at the start of the window and at the end of the window, since those two readings determine the result. Readers should use the market rules, not outside exchange prices, because the description explicitly says the resolution source is Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream. The main ambiguity risk is confusing Eastern Time with UTC or using a different Bitcoin reference price, so the resolution should be checked against the stated 4:00PM-8:00PM ET range and the specified Chainlink feed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $33.9K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
0%
Down
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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