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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $4.2K in 24h volume, and $2.7K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-52.9%
High
53%
Low
0.1%
Under moved from 53% to 0.1% over the full available history, trading between 0.1% and 53%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market asks whether Map 1 between 9z and FlyQuest at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 will be a relatively short map or one that gets into the low 20s in rounds. In Counter-Strike, that matters because a map that ends 13-8, 13-9, or goes to overtime can land on opposite sides of 21.5 even if the match winner is the same.
The event is the Counter-Strike match between 9z and FlyQuest, scheduled for June 6 at 8:30AM ET in IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The settlement is based only on the total number of rounds played on Map 1, counting both teams’ rounds together and including overtime if it happens. A map with 22 or more total rounds resolves to Over; 21 or fewer resolves to Under.
This line is sensitive because a single CS2 map can swing from a quick blowout to a close finish depending on vetoes, side starts, momentum, and whether the teams are evenly matched on the day. 9z and FlyQuest are the specific teams that make the map meaningful here, since lineup quality, stage pressure, and map comfort can all affect whether Map 1 stays short or becomes competitive. The market is essentially pricing the chance that the opening map reaches a tight score rather than ending before the round count gets into the low 20s.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 length can move this market: a lopsided veto, a surprise map pick, or late roster news that changes how the teams are expected to trade rounds. In CS2, maps with strong CT sides, shaky pistol-round conversions, or a tendency to split rounds evenly are more likely to push toward Over, while a clear skill gap or a one-sided veto can pull it toward Under. Overtime is especially important here because any extra rounds immediately makes Over more likely.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is that Map 1 is actually played to completion, because the rules say a normal completed map resolves the market, while a forfeit, walkover, cancellation, or a match delayed beyond seven days without a completed Map 1 resolves 50-50. The source of truth is the final official Map 1 round score, not the series score or who wins the match overall. Readers should also check whether the match begins on schedule and whether Map 1 finishes with a standard final score or goes into overtime, since that changes the total rounds counted.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $4.2K in 24h volume, and $2.7K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
99.9%
Under
0.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 8:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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