esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $9.2K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$9.2K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-49.9%
High
51%
Low
0.1%
Astralis moved from 50% to 0.1% over the last day, trading between 0.1% and 51%.
Astralis price history from Polymarket CLOB.
37 points
This market asks a very specific CS2 question: how large will Astralis’s Map 1 margin be against TYLOO at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2? Because the contract is tied only to the first map’s round difference, it can settle one way even if the overall match ends differently. The listed order book is heavily tilted toward TYLOO, which suggests the market expects Astralis to struggle to cover a 3.5-round handicap on Map 1.
The title refers to the Map 1 rounds handicap in Astralis vs. TYLOO, part of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 match scheduled for June 7 at 8:30 AM ET. For this market, the only thing that matters is the final round score on Map 1: Astralis must win by 4 or more rounds for the market to resolve to Astralis, while any smaller margin, TYLOO win, or tie-like handicap result goes to TYLOO. The result is independent of the overall match winner and does not depend on the later maps.
A 3.5-round handicap creates uncertainty because even a team that is favored to win a map may not win by enough rounds to cover the line. In Counter-Strike, map choice, side starts, pistol rounds, and momentum swings can all change the final round margin quickly, especially in a tournament setting. Readers care here because Astralis is a well-known European organization and TYLOO is a long-standing Chinese CS team, so the matchup carries both roster and regional interest.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1’s round spread can move this market, especially the revealed map veto, the confirmed starting sides, and any roster or stand-in news before the match begins. Because the resolution depends only on Map 1 rounds, a single map’s format details matter a lot: a close map can make a handicap fail even if Astralis still wins the map, while a dominant CT-side performance can make the handicap clear easily. Live order flow can also shift if the scheduled start changes, if the match format is adjusted, or if official match coverage on HLTV shows the map getting underway with a clear early lead.
Related markets
--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the official match result on HLTV, and the market only resolves from Map 1 once that map has been played to completion with a final round score. Readers should verify that Map 1 was actually finished, because if the map is not played, ends by forfeit/default, or the match is canceled or delayed too long without a completed Map 1, the market rules say it resolves 50-50. It is also worth checking that the result being used is the Map 1 score only, since later maps, overtime, and the overall match outcome do not change this handicap settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $9.2K in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Astralis
0%
TYLOO
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Astralis and TYLOO in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Astralis's round total on Map 1 exceeds TYLOO's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TYLOO". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$10.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-2%
24h Vol
$883.9
Liquidity
$1.8K
Spread
5%
12/31/2026
View market