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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
5%
Change
0%
High
5%
Low
5%
Astralis moved from 5% to 5% over the last week, trading between 5% and 5%.
Astralis price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market asks whether TYLOO can beat Astralis by at least four rounds on Map 1 of their Counter-Strike meeting at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. It is not about who wins the map or the match overall, only the final round differential on the first map. Because the threshold is small in a game built on round-by-round swings, even a competitive map can change the outcome here.
The event is the TYLOO vs. Astralis match scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The market resolves to TYLOO only if TYLOO wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, counting overtime if it happens; otherwise it resolves to Astralis. If Map 1 is not completed, is decided by forfeit or default, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond the stated window without a completed Map 1, the market falls back to 50-50 under the rules.
The uncertainty is not about whether these teams are playing, but about how wide the Map 1 margin will be once the first map is actually played out. In Counter-Strike, a team can look stronger overall and still fail to clear a four-round handicap if the map is close, so the market is really pricing the chance of a comfortable TYLOO map win versus a narrow one. The live book has this priced strongly toward TYLOO, which suggests the market sees TYLOO as the side more likely to cover the handicap.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 specifically can move this market: map veto information, lineup changes, late roster substitutions, or signs that one team is favored on its likely pick. Because the settlement depends only on round score, not match winner, a map that looks close on paper but favors one side’s best map pool can matter a lot. Overtime also counts, so a long extra-round map can widen or narrow the final margin in ways that are more important here than in a simple match-winner market.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the official match status, the confirmed Map 1 score, and whether the game was completed normally, since the settlement rules depend on rounds actually played to a finish. The stated source of truth is HLTV, so the key verification point is the final Map 1 result there, especially if there is any forfeit, default, delay, or cancellation. If the match does not reach a completed Map 1 within the deadline window, the market does not settle on the score and instead resolves 50-50 per the rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
TYLOO
100%
Astralis
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between TYLOO and Astralis in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. TYLOO's round total on Map 1 exceeds Astralis's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Astralis". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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