
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
95%
Change
+45%
High
95%
Low
50%
TYLOO moved from 50% to 95% over the last day, trading between 50% and 95%.
TYLOO price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market is about the first map of TYLOO vs. Astralis at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, and it asks whether TYLOO can win Map 1 by at least seven rounds. Because the bet is tied to the opening map only, it matters even if the overall match goes the other way or ends with a later disruption. The market is currently leaning strongly toward TYLOO, with fairly high liquidity and a wide spread, so Map 1 result details will matter quickly once the game starts.
The event is the Counter-Strike match between TYLOO and Astralis in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, scheduled for June 7 at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution comes from the final round score on Map 1 only: TYLOO wins the market if it finishes Map 1 ahead by 7 or more rounds, and Astralis wins otherwise. Overtime counts in the final Map 1 round total, but only if the map is actually played to completion.
This market exists because a round handicap is more specific than a simple match-winner question. TYLOO and Astralis have different styles, map pools, and form expectations, so the market is really asking whether TYLOO can produce a large enough margin on the opening map rather than just squeaking out a win. That creates disagreement over map vetoes, side starts, and whether the map will be close enough to land inside the 6.5-round cushion.
The biggest price movers are the map veto, the side each team starts on, and any official lineup or roster change before the match begins. If the first map turns out to be one of TYLOO’s stronger maps, or Astralis fields a different lineup than expected, the handicap can look much easier to clear; if the veto points to a more competitive map, the market can move toward Astralis. Once Map 1 is underway, early round swings, pistol rounds, and whether the game looks headed for overtime can all affect how people judge the final margin.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, check that Map 1 is actually completed and that the final round score is available from the official HLTV match page, since that is the stated source of truth. The key ambiguity to watch for is not who wins the match, but whether Map 1 ends with a real round score, because forfeits, walkovers, disqualifications, cancellations, or an incomplete map push the market to 50-50 under the rules. Readers should also note the 7-day fallback window in case the match is delayed without a completed Map 1.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
TYLOO
100%
Astralis
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between TYLOO and Astralis in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. TYLOO's round total on Map 1 exceeds Astralis's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Astralis". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$11.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-2%
24h Vol
$883.9
Liquidity
$1.8K
Spread
5%
12/31/2026
View market