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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $690.6 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$690.6
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+37%
High
99.5%
Low
61.5%
B8 moved from 62.5% to 99.5% over the full available history, trading between 61.5% and 99.5%.
B8 price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market is about the first map in GamerLegion vs. B8 at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the match, but whether GamerLegion can win Map 1 by four or more rounds, which is a much narrower and more specific result.
The title sets a round handicap on Map 1: GamerLegion must finish the opening map ahead by at least 4 rounds for this market to resolve to GamerLegion; otherwise it resolves to B8. That means a 13-9 win for GamerLegion would count for GamerLegion, while a 13-10 win, any B8 win, or a close overtime result would count for B8 under the stated rule. The match is listed for June 7 at 10:30AM ET, and the official source for resolution is HLTV match results.
Counter-Strike map handicaps are sensitive to how a single map unfolds, especially in a tournament setting where vetoes, side choice, and map comfort can create wide swings in round margins. GamerLegion and B8 are both professional teams, but the market is really pricing whether GamerLegion can produce a clear Map 1 edge rather than simply keep the series competitive. The live book here is leaning heavily toward B8 under the handicap, which suggests the market expects GamerLegion to need a strong performance to clear the -3.5 line.
Anything that clarifies the opening-map context can move this market: the announced map veto, which side each team starts on, and any roster or substitute change before the match. Because the settlement depends only on Map 1 rounds, a fast start, a lopsided half, or an overtime-heavy map can all change how the handicap is viewed even if the overall match later goes another way. If the match is delayed, rescheduled, forfeited, or Map 1 is not completed, the market rules say it can resolve 50-50 instead of on the score.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should check that Map 1 is actually played to completion and that the final round count is recorded by HLTV, since that is the source of truth for settlement. The important cutoff is the opening map only: later maps do not matter, and the team that wins the match is not the settlement criterion. If the match is abandoned, decided by default, or not completed within the stated window, the special 50-50 rule applies, so the status of Map 1 matters more than the series result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $690.6 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
GamerLegion
0%
B8
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between GamerLegion and B8 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. GamerLegion's round total on Map 1 exceeds B8's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "B8". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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