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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-9.5) vs B8 (+9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $100 in 24h volume, and $7.1K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$7.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-49.5%
High
50%
Low
0.5%
GamerLegion moved from 50% to 0.5% over the last week, trading between 0.5% and 50%.
GamerLegion price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market is about the first map in a Counter-Strike 2 match between GamerLegion and B8 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because the bet is tied to Map 1 round differential rather than the match winner, a single lopsided map can settle it even if the overall series goes the other way.
The question is whether GamerLegion will win Map 1 by 10 or more rounds against B8, or whether B8 will keep the margin to 9 rounds or fewer. The match is scheduled for June 7 at 11:20 AM ET, and the result is supposed to come from official HLTV match information once Map 1 is completed.
This kind of handicap market focuses on how dominant the opening map looks, not just who advances in the match. In CS2, map pools, side balance, veto order, and team form on a specific map can create a wide range of possible scores, so a team can be favored to win while still not covering a large round handicap.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 margin can move this market, especially the announced map veto, roster availability, or late team substitutions if those were to happen before play. Once the map starts, an early run of rounds, a strong CT or T side, overtime, or a close finish will matter more here than the eventual series result because the market only cares about the round score on Map 1.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Map 1 is actually played to completion, since the rules say a forfeit, walkover, disqualification, or match cancellation can force a 50-50 resolution. The official source of truth is HLTV, and if final results are not posted there within two hours after the event ends, the market description says other official information may be used. The key details to watch are the scheduled start time, the completed Map 1 round score, and whether any delay pushes the match beyond the seven-day cutoff without a completed map.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketTrack live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-9.5) vs B8 (+9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $100 in 24h volume, and $7.1K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
GamerLegion
0.5%
B8
99.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between GamerLegion and B8 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 11:20AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion wins Map 1 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. GamerLegion's round total on Map 1 exceeds B8's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "B8". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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