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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 37%, $2.6K in 24h volume, and $11K in liquidity.
Probability
37%
24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$11K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
40%
Change
+0.5%
High
62.5%
Low
36.5%
GamerLegion moved from 39.5% to 40% over the last 6 hours, trading between 36.5% and 62.5%.
GamerLegion price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market is about the third map in the Counter-Strike match between GamerLegion and B8 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key issue is not who wins the match, but whether GamerLegion can win Map 3 by at least four rounds under the market’s handicap rules.
The title sets a round handicap on Map 3: GamerLegion must finish the map with a margin of 4 or more rounds for the market to resolve to GamerLegion, otherwise it resolves to B8. The match is listed for IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with a scheduled start time of June 7 at 10:30AM ET, and the resolution depends only on the final round score of Map 3 if that map is actually played to completion.
A map handicap can be very different from a simple match-winner market because one side may win a map without covering the round spread, and overtime can also matter. That creates uncertainty around whether GamerLegion can separate itself by enough rounds on the deciding map, especially in a high-stakes Counter-Strike stage where vetoes, map choice, and team form can all affect round margins.
The biggest price movers are signs about the map pool, veto path, and whether one team is favored on the likely third map, since those factors directly affect round spreads more than the match score alone. Any confirmation that the series reaches Map 3, plus information about roster changes or substitutions before the match, can change expectations because lineup stability often matters in a close handicap market. If the map goes to overtime, the final round differential could widen enough to change the outcome, so live round-by-round momentum on Map 3 is especially important.
The current market price implies roughly a 37% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Map 3 is actually played to completion, because a forfeit, walkover, default, cancellation, or a match delayed beyond the market’s 7-day cutoff resolves this market 50-50 rather than to either side. The source of truth is official results from HLTV, which the market says will be used for resolution, so the final Map 3 round score is what matters most. If the series ends before a completed Map 3 is posted, or if HLTV does not publish final results in time, the resolution rules become the deciding factor rather than the on-screen match result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 37%, $2.6K in 24h volume, and $11K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
GamerLegion
36.5%
B8
63.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between GamerLegion and B8 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. GamerLegion's round total on Map 3 exceeds B8's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "B8". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 37%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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