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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $35 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$35
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the opening map score in the Counter-Strike match between M80 and B8 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because the market is tied to Map 1 rounds only, it is watching for how wide the first-map margin is, not who wins the series overall.
The question is whether M80 will beat B8 by at least 4 rounds on Map 1 of their Stage 2 match, initially scheduled for June 6 at 3:15 PM ET. If M80’s Map 1 round total ends 4 or more above B8’s, the market resolves to M80; otherwise it resolves to B8. The match matters because IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 is a high-stakes CS2 stage where map-by-map performance can differ sharply from the final match result.
A handicap market like this asks a narrower question than a simple match-winner market: it focuses on whether M80 can create a meaningful cushion on the first map. In Counter-Strike, map vetoes, side selection, overtime, and team form on a specific map can all make the round spread look very different from the series outcome, which is why there is room for disagreement here. The market is essentially pricing how likely it is that M80’s Map 1 performance clears that 3.5-round line.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 specifically can move this market, especially the map veto and which side each team starts on. News about roster availability, stand-ins, recent form on the likely map pool, or whether the match begins on a map that favors one team can all shift the expected round margin. If the match runs long, goes to overtime, or ends in a lopsided scoreline on the opening map, that outcome will matter much more here than the final series score.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the official Map 1 final score on HLTV, since that is the source of truth for settlement. Readers should also check that Map 1 is actually completed to a normal round finish, because this market has special 50-50 rules if the map is not played, is decided by forfeit or default, or if the match is delayed too long without Map 1 being completed. If the match format, map selection, or final result is unclear anywhere, the round score on the completed first map is what ultimately decides the market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $35 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
M80
0%
B8
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between M80 and B8 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 3:15PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. M80's round total on Map 1 exceeds B8's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "B8". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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