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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, and $3.4K in liquidity.
Probability
52%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
48.5%
Change
+4.5%
High
49%
Low
44%
Under moved from 44% to 48.5% over the last week, trading between 44% and 49%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market asks a simple but very specific Counter-Strike question: how many rounds will Map 1 between FlyQuest and paiN actually take in IEM Cologne Major Stage 2? Because the line is 21.5, a quick map can land Under, while a tighter, more competitive map can push it Over.
The event is the FlyQuest vs. paiN match in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30 AM ET. The result here depends only on the total rounds played on Map 1, not on which team wins the map or the match. Overtime counts, so a map that goes long can easily move this market from Under to Over.
In Counter-Strike, map length is heavily shaped by the matchup, vetoes, and how evenly matched the teams are on the day. A 21.5-round line sits right around the length of a standard 13-8 or 13-9 type map, so the market is really asking whether Map 1 will be relatively straightforward or closely contested. FlyQuest and paiN are the named teams driving that uncertainty, and the tournament setting matters because Major-stage matches are official, structured, and played under standard rules that can produce a full regulation map or overtime.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 length can move this market, especially the map veto and which side each team starts on. If the matchup looks lopsided on the chosen map, Under becomes more plausible; if both teams are comfortable on the map or have similar strengths, Over gains appeal because close scores and overtime add rounds quickly. Because the contract is tied only to Map 1, updates about the lineup for this specific match and the opening map choice matter more than who is favored in the overall series.
The current market price implies roughly a 52% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check that Map 1 is actually played to completion, since a forfeit, walkover, default, cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days can trigger a 50-50 outcome instead of Over or Under. The official source of truth is the completed Map 1 round score from the FlyQuest-paiN match in IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, including any overtime rounds. If the final total lands exactly on the listed threshold treatment in the rules is 50-50, so the exact round count is the key detail to verify.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, and $3.4K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
51.5%
Under
48.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FlyQuest and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 52%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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