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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 45%, $9.6K in 24h volume, and $58.4K in liquidity.
Probability
45%
24h Volume
$9.6K
Liquidity
$58.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
55.5%
Change
0%
High
55.5%
Low
55.5%
paiN moved from 55.5% to 55.5% over the last hour, trading between 55.5% and 55.5%.
paiN price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks a simple but specific esports question: who will win Map 1 in the Counter-Strike match between FlyQuest and paiN at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2? Because the settlement depends on the first map alone, it can turn on veto choices, side selection, and how each team starts the series rather than on the full match result.
The title and description point to a Round 3 match between FlyQuest and paiN at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, originally scheduled for June 7 at 10:30 AM ET. The market resolves to FlyQuest if they win Map 1, and to paiN if they win Map 1; if Map 1 is never completed, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond the stated window without play beginning, it resolves 50-50. Official results from HLTV are the main source of truth for settlement, with fallback reporting only if HLTV has not posted final results within two hours after the event ends.
Map 1 is often the most uncertain map in a Counter-Strike series because the opening veto, map pool preferences, and early nerves can matter more than overall team strength. FlyQuest and paiN are both the kind of teams where a single map can swing on matchup comfort, so there is meaningful disagreement about which side is better positioned to start fast. The market is pricing that uncertainty around the first map specifically, not who is better across the whole match.
Anything that clarifies the map veto or the actual starting map can move this market, since some teams perform very differently on certain maps. Final lineup news, last-minute roster substitutions, warmup form, or an official match delay can all matter because they change how confidently people can judge the first map. Once Map 1 begins, early rounds, pistol outcome, and side performance will quickly shape expectations, especially if one team looks prepared for the map pick or shows a clear comfort advantage.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 45% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check whether the match actually starts on time, whether Map 1 is completed, and which official map is played first, since the market only settles on the winner of that map. The key source is HLTV, with the rule that a completed Map 1 is enough even if the full match is interrupted afterward. If the match is never played, or play does not begin within the stated seven-day window, the fallback is 50-50, so the important ambiguity is not just who looked stronger but whether the official match conditions are fully met.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 45%, $9.6K in 24h volume, and $58.4K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FlyQuest
44.5%
paiN
55.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FlyQuest and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Map 1 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 1 against FlyQuest. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 45%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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