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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Probability
30%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
30%
Change
-10%
High
44.5%
Low
30%
paiN moved from 40% to 30% over the last month, trading between 30% and 44.5%.
paiN price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market is about the round margin on Map 2 of paiN vs FlyQuest at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. It is not asking who wins the map or the match overall; it only cares whether paiN covers a 3.5-round handicap on that second map.
The exact question is whether paiN wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds after all rounds are played, including overtime if needed. If paiN’s round total on Map 2 ends up at least four higher than FlyQuest’s, the market resolves to paiN; otherwise it resolves to FlyQuest. The match title matters because this is tied to a specific Counter-Strike fixture in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, and the market only uses Map 2’s final round score as the deciding result.
A map-handicap market like this can differ sharply from the match winner because one team may win close, lose narrowly, or control a map without winning the whole series. In Counter-Strike, vetoes, map pool strength, and late-map momentum can all influence whether a team can clear a 3.5-round margin. The live price suggests the market expects FlyQuest to be the more likely side on this handicap, but the outcome still turns on a single map’s scoreline.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 2 can move this market: the map veto, which side each team gets, roster substitutions, and whether either team is favored on the specific map that ends up being played. Because the rule is based on rounds won, a very close map or an overtime-heavy result would matter a lot, even if one team wins the series. If the match format or schedule changes, or if the map is not completed as described, that can also affect how the market resolves.
The current market price implies roughly a 30% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are the official match schedule, whether Map 2 is actually played to completion, and the final round score on that map. The resolution source is HLTV, and if HLTV has not posted final results within two hours after the event ends, the market can rely on a consensus of reliable reporting. If the match is canceled, delayed beyond seven days without Map 2 being completed, or Map 2 is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default instead of rounds played, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to either team.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
paiN
30%
FlyQuest
70%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between paiN and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. paiN's round total on Map 2 exceeds FlyQuest's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FlyQuest". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 30%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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