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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $2.8K in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
51%
Change
+1%
High
51%
Low
50%
Over moved from 50% to 51% over the last hour, trading between 50% and 51%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about how long Map 2 will run in the Counter-Strike match between FlyQuest and paiN at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the map, but whether the two teams combine for more than 21.5 rounds on that single map, including any overtime. Because the map must be played out to a final score, this is one of those markets where the exact series format and whether Map 2 is completed really matter.
The title refers specifically to Map 2 of FlyQuest vs paiN, scheduled for June 7 at 10:30 AM ET, with the market closing around that match window. The outcome is based on the total number of rounds played on Map 2 only: Over means more than 21.5 combined rounds, Under means fewer than 21.5, and an exact 21.5 is settled 50-50 as written in the rules. If Map 2 is not played to completion, or the match is decided by a non-standard result such as a forfeit, walkover, or default, the market is also set to 50-50.
Round totals in Counter-Strike depend on map balance, team styles, and whether a map becomes a blowout or stays competitive long enough to reach overtime. FlyQuest and paiN are the named teams because their matchup creates uncertainty about whether Map 2 will end quickly or grind past the usual regulation range. The market is pricing disagreement about whether this particular map will land on the short side of the line or stretch into a tighter, higher-round game.
Any confirmed change to the match schedule, map order, or whether Map 2 is actually played can matter immediately, since the rule set depends on the map being completed. In esports, roster swaps, stand-ins, or last-minute competitive changes can affect how likely a map is to stay close or turn into a one-sided result, which in turn shifts expectations around the round total. Official veto information, the live map score, and whether the teams reach overtime are the most direct in-match factors that would move the market.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main thing to verify is that the market settles from the completed round count on Map 2, not from the match winner or any later maps. Readers should check the official match listing and final map score, since the rules say a completed Map 2 is what matters, while a forfeit, default, cancellation, or delay beyond seven days without completion leads to 50-50. One detail appears truncated in the provided description, so it is worth confirming the full rule text on the market page in case there are additional settlement notes not shown here.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $2.8K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
51%
Under
49%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FlyQuest and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 2 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 2, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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