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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $12.3 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$12.3
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
0%
High
50%
Low
50%
Over moved from 50% to 50% over the full available history, trading between 50% and 50%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market is about whether the third map in FlyQuest vs paiN at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 will end above or below 21.5 total rounds. Because it isolates only Map 3, the key question is not who wins the series, but whether the deciding map is a short one or a tight, round-heavy finish with overtime.
The event is the Counter-Strike match between FlyQuest and paiN in Stage 2 of the IEM Cologne Major, scheduled for June 7 at 10:30 AM ET. The market resolves from the combined rounds actually played on Map 3 only: 22 or more rounds means Over, 21 or fewer means Under, and exactly 21.5 is not a possible score so the rule effectively splits at 22 rounds.
A map-total line like 21.5 sits right on the boundary between a quick stomp and a competitive map, which is common in Counter-Strike where side starts, pistol rounds, and momentum swings can change the length of a map fast. FlyQuest and paiN are the named teams because their matchup must reach a third map for this market to matter, so the market is really pricing the chance that the series becomes a close, drawn-out decider rather than ending cleanly before that.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a full Map 3 can move this market: map picks and bans, roster surprises, last-minute substitutions, or signs that one team is much stronger on the likely decider map pool. In-play results also matter a lot, because a one-sided first half, repeated resets from missed clutches, or overtime potential can all push expectations toward the Over, while a dominant start from either side points toward a shorter map and the Under.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Map 3 is actually played to completion, since the rules say the market resolves 50-50 if the third map is not completed for any reason, including forfeit, default, walkover, cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days. The source of truth is the completed Map 3 round score, not the series score or the winner of the match, so the final map scoreboard is what matters most. It is also worth checking whether overtime was played, because every round in overtime counts toward the total.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $12.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FlyQuest and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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