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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, $12.6K in 24h volume, and $23.3K in liquidity.
Probability
27%
24h Volume
$12.6K
Liquidity
$23.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
27%
Change
-6%
High
33%
Low
26.5%
paiN moved from 33% to 27% over the last week, trading between 26.5% and 33%.
paiN price history from Polymarket CLOB.
7 points
This market is about the CS2 Round 3 match between paiN and FlyQuest at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with the line set as a 1.5-map handicap. Because the match is a multi-map series, the key question is not just who wins, but whether paiN can win by at least two maps more than FlyQuest under the handicap rule.
The title points to a map handicap on the scheduled match between paiN and FlyQuest, initially set for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. The market resolves to paiN if paiN wins the series by 2 or more maps relative to FlyQuest; otherwise it resolves to FlyQuest. In practical terms, a straight series result that does not create a two-map margin for paiN goes to FlyQuest under this setup.
CS2 matches at a major like IEM Cologne can swing on vetoes, map pool strength, and how well each roster performs on specific maps, so the handicap is often more informative than a simple winner market. FlyQuest and paiN are also teams that can be affected by preparation, map comfort, and the pressure of an elimination or advancement stage, which makes the series margin uncertain even when one side looks stronger on paper. That uncertainty is what this market is pricing.
Any change in the announced map veto, roster availability, or match format can move expectations quickly, because a strong first-choice map for one team changes the likely margin. If either side shows an unexpected lineup change, travel issue, or substitution before the match, the handicap view can shift. Official updates from the tournament operator or the published match page matter most, since this market depends on the actual map results rather than just the series winner.
The current market price implies roughly a 27% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketCheck the official match page and the final result on HLTV, since that is the stated source of truth for resolution. The market rules also matter: forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, and even a clinching map that is forfeited are treated differently depending on whether the match is completed. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50, so readers should verify whether the series was fully completed and how each map was officially recorded.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, $12.6K in 24h volume, and $23.3K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
paiN
27%
FlyQuest
73%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FlyQuest and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN wins 2 or more maps than FlyQuest in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FlyQuest". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 27%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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