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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The market currently shows a live probability of 47%, $294.6K in 24h volume, and $246K in liquidity.
Probability
47%
24h Volume
$294.6K
Liquidity
$246K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
53.5%
Change
0%
High
53.5%
Low
53.5%
paiN moved from 53.5% to 53.5% over the last hour, trading between 53.5% and 53.5%.
paiN price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about a best-of-three Counter-Strike match between FlyQuest and paiN in IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, scheduled for June 7 at 10:30 AM ET. Because it is a BO3 in a major-stage setting, the result depends on map performance, vetoes, and whether either team can sustain form across multiple maps.
The question is simple: will FlyQuest beat paiN in this Round 3 match, or will paiN win the series? The market resolves to FlyQuest if FlyQuest win the match, and to paiN if paiN win. If the match is not played, is delayed more than seven days without a winner, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50; official match results from HLTV are the primary source.
FlyQuest and paiN are both established Counter-Strike teams, and in a major-stage event like IEM Cologne, each series can be affected by roster stability, map pool strength, and how well a team handles pressure in a BO3. Readers care because a Round 3 match can shape momentum in the stage, but the outcome is still uncertain enough that the market can swing on a few key rounds or a favorable map veto.
Anything that changes expectations for the series can move this market, especially official roster updates, lineup changes, or confirmation of stand-ins before the match. Map veto information matters a lot in BO3s, since some teams are much stronger on certain maps, and the first map can also signal whether one side looks sharp or shaky. If the match schedule shifts, or if there is any official notice about a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, that can also affect how the market is resolved and how participants price the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 47% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check the official match listing and final result on HLTV, since that is the stated source of truth. The key details to verify are whether the match starts on time, whether all three maps are needed, and whether there are any unusual outcomes such as a delayed start, interruption, or team withdrawal. The resolution rules treat some non-standard endings differently, so it is worth confirming whether the match was completed normally or whether a special case applies.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The market currently shows a live probability of 47%, $294.6K in 24h volume, and $246K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FlyQuest
46.5%
paiN
53.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FlyQuest and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against FlyQuest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 47%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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