
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $748.3 in 24h volume, and $1 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$748.3
Liquidity
$1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50.5%
Change
+17.5%
High
50.5%
Low
33%
FUT Esports moved from 33% to 50.5% over the last month, trading between 33% and 50.5%.
FUT Esports price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market is about the first map in a Counter-Strike 2 match between FUT Esports and G2 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the series, but whether FUT can win Map 1 by at least four rounds, which is a much narrower margin than a simple match winner bet would imply.
The title sets a round handicap on Map 1: FUT Esports must finish the map ahead by 4 or more rounds for the market to resolve to FUT, while any smaller margin, including a G2 win, resolves to G2. The match is scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET, and the deadline on the page is tied to that event window, with resolution based only on the completed Map 1 round score. Because this is a map-specific market, later maps, a match upset, or the overall series result do not matter unless Map 1 itself is not played to completion.
Handicap markets like this capture the shape of a map, not just the winner, so there can be disagreement about whether FUT can keep the first map close even if G2 are favored overall. In CS2, map choice, side starts, and team form can all affect whether a team covers a small round spread, which is why a market like FUT -3.5 versus G2 +3.5 can move differently from a straight match market. The pricing here reflects uncertainty over how competitive Map 1 will be once the map pool and lineups are known.
The biggest drivers are the Map 1 veto and any confirmed roster or stand-in changes, because those can drastically change how many rounds a team is expected to win or lose. If the map pool strongly favors one side, or if one team is known to be especially strong on the selected map, that can shift expectations for whether a four-round cover is realistic. Because the market is only about Map 1, anything that changes the likely pace of that first map—such as a lopsided veto, a slow defensive map, or a blowout risk—can matter more than the rest of the match format.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the official match page and the final Map 1 score from HLTV, since the market resolves from official results there. The rules are specific: Map 1 must be played to completion, and if it ends by forfeit, walkover, default, cancellation, or an incomplete map, the market goes 50-50 instead of settling by rounds. One detail that is missing from the truncated rules is the backup source if HLTV does not publish final results within two hours, so it is worth verifying the full resolution section before relying on the page.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, $748.3 in 24h volume, and $1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FUT Esports
50.5%
G2
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FUT Esports and G2 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. FUT Esports's round total on Map 1 exceeds G2's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "G2". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$11K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-3%
24h Vol
$885.8
Liquidity
$1.6K
Spread
6%
12/31/2026
View market