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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $0.6 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0.6
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50.5%
Change
+0.5%
High
50.5%
Low
50%
FUT Esports moved from 50% to 50.5% over the last month, trading between 50% and 50.5%.
FUT Esports price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market tracks a very specific CS2 margin outcome in FUT Esports vs G2 at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. It is not about who wins the series overall; it is only about whether FUT can win Map 3 by at least four rounds, which makes the map score the key detail to watch.
The question is whether FUT Esports will finish Map 3 with a round lead of 4 or more over G2, with overtime counted in the final map score. If FUT’s Map 3 round total exceeds G2’s by 4+, the market resolves to FUT Esports; otherwise it resolves to G2. The match was initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET, and the market is tied to the completed Map 3 result only.
Map handicaps create a different kind of uncertainty than a simple match-winner market, because a team can lose the series or still cover a round spread on a single map. FUT and G2 are both established names in Counter-Strike, and at a high-stakes event like IEM Cologne, map vetoes, side selection, and the exact competitiveness of one map can matter as much as the final scoreline. The market is pricing disagreement about whether FUT can keep Map 3 close enough, or pull away enough, to beat a 3.5-round handicap.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Map 3 can move this market: the map veto, roster availability, overtime-heavy play, and how one-sided the early rounds look once the map starts. Because the settlement depends only on Map 3’s final round score, a lopsided start, a comeback, or a late swing in regulation or overtime all matter directly. If the series format, lineup, or official schedule changes before Map 3 is played, that can also affect how the market should be read.
The current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important check is the official Map 3 final score as published by HLTV, since that is the stated resolution source. Readers should also confirm that Map 3 was actually played to completion, because a forfeit, default, cancellation, or match delay beyond seven days can force a 50-50 resolution instead of a team result. If the series never reaches a completed Map 3, the handicap question does not resolve from round score at all, so the key ambiguity is whether a full map is officially logged.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $0.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FUT Esports
50.5%
G2
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FUT Esports and G2 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. FUT Esports's round total on Map 3 exceeds G2's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "G2". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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