
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $1.6K in liquidity.
Probability
24%
24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$1.6K
This market is about the Map 3 round margin in the Counter-Strike match between G2 and FUT Esports at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. It is narrower than a simple match-winner market: only the final round difference on Map 3 matters, including overtime if Map 3 goes long. Readers should pay close attention to whether the third map is actually completed, because that determines how the market resolves.
The question here is whether G2 will win Map 3 by 4 rounds or more against FUT Esports, or whether the margin will be 3 rounds or fewer. The market is scheduled around the June 7 match window, and the resolution is tied strictly to the final round score on Map 3, not to who wins the match overall. If Map 3 is not played to completion, or ends by forfeit, walkover, default, cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days without completion, the market resolves 50-50.
A map handicap like this can be harder to judge than a straight win/loss because a team can win the map without covering a 3.5-round line. That makes roster form, map pool strength, and which map lands as Map 3 especially important in a best-of-three. The market is essentially pricing the chance that G2’s edge on the deciding map is large enough to clear the round spread, versus a closer finish that still leaves FUT Esports on the plus side.
The biggest price drivers are the veto and the identity of Map 3, since some maps favor faster pacing, tighter scorelines, or more decisive blowouts. Late roster changes, substitutions, or any pre-match team news that affects map comfort can matter because they change how likely a wide round margin is. During the match, a lopsided start, overtime pressure, or a competitive second half on Map 3 can quickly change expectations for whether G2 covers the handicap.
The current market price implies roughly a 24% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is the official result reporting from HLTV, since the market rules say resolution comes from that page. Before the market settles, verify that Map 3 was actually played to completion and that the final round score is recorded, because a partial map or a non-played third map triggers a 50-50 resolution instead. It is also worth checking whether the match reaches Map 3 at all, since the market only applies if that third map is meaningfully completed on rounds played.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $1.6K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2
23.5%
FUT Esports
76.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and FUT Esports in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 3 exceeds FUT Esports's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FUT Esports". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 24%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$11K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-3%
24h Vol
$885.8
Liquidity
$1.6K
Spread
6%
12/31/2026
View market