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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-12.5) vs M80 (+12.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $49 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$49
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the first map in the Counter-Strike match between G2 and M80 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the match, but whether G2 can win Map 1 by 13 or more rounds on the official scoreline.
The title refers to a rounds handicap on Map 1: G2 must finish Map 1 ahead by at least 13 rounds for the market to resolve to G2, and otherwise it resolves to M80. The match is listed for June 6 at 8:45 AM ET, and the event source is official HLTV match information. Because this is tied only to Map 1, the rest of the series does not matter unless Map 1 is not completed under the market rules.
A big round handicap creates a different question from a simple match-winner market. Even if G2 is favored overall, a 13-round margin on a single map is a much stricter threshold, while M80 can win this market either by taking Map 1 or by keeping the map closer than a 13-round gap. That makes the market sensitive to the format, the map pool, and whether the first map turns into a one-sided blowout or a competitive close game.
The biggest swing factors are the actual Map 1 pick, each team’s current form, and whether either roster has a noticeable edge on that specific map. In Counter-Strike, a strong pistol-round start, early economy control, or a map that suits one side’s tactical comfort can quickly change how realistic a 13-round handicap becomes. Overtime also matters here because the market counts the final round total, so a long map can make a G2 cover much harder to achieve.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should check the official HLTV match page for the confirmed Map 1 result and final round score, since that is the source of truth for settlement. The rules also matter: if Map 1 is not played to completion, or the match is decided by forfeit, walkover, default, or cancellation without a completed Map 1, the market resolves 50-50. The scheduled date and delay window are important too, because if the match is delayed beyond seven days from the listed date without Map 1 being completed, the market also resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-12.5) vs M80 (+12.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $49 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2
0%
M80
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and M80 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 8:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 1 by 13 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 1 exceeds M80's by 13 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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