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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $3.6K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the opening map of G2 vs M80 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, and specifically the round margin on Map 1. Because it is a handicap line rather than a simple match-winner market, the key question is not who takes the map, but whether G2 can win it by four or more rounds.
The title means G2 is favored at -3.5 rounds and M80 is taking +3.5 on Map 1 of the Counter-Strike match scheduled for June 6 at 7:30 AM ET. The market resolves to G2 if G2’s final round total on Map 1 is at least four higher than M80’s; otherwise it resolves to M80. The description is explicit that this depends only on the completed round score on Map 1, not on who wins the map or the overall series.
Even in a matchup with a strong favorite, a map handicap can be uncertain because Counter-Strike maps often turn on vetoes, side balance, pistol rounds, and momentum swings that can compress or widen the final scoreline. G2 and M80 are also coming into a high-profile Major stage, where format pressure, preparation, and map pool choices can matter as much as raw team reputation. Readers watching this market are really asking whether Map 1 will be a comfortable G2 win or a closer contest that stays within three rounds.
The biggest price moves usually come from the map veto and any confirmed roster or role changes, because those directly affect how likely a team is to control the first map by a wide margin. A favorable map pick for G2, or signs that M80 is strong on the selected map, would make a -3.5 cover less certain; a weak veto for M80 would do the opposite. Because this is a first-map handicap, an early run of round wins, side-swapping trends, or a very one-sided half can also matter if live updates are reflected before settlement.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is whether Map 1 is actually played to completion, since the rules say a forfeit, walkover, default, or incomplete map leads to a 50-50 resolution. If the match is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, that also resolves 50-50. For settlement, the source of truth is official HLTV match information, so readers should check the final Map 1 round score there rather than relying on the match winner, a stream scoreboard, or a later map result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $3.6K in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2
100%
M80
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and M80 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 7:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 1 exceeds M80's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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