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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the first map of G2 vs. M80 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, and it narrows the question down to a very specific margin: does G2 win Map 1 by at least seven rounds? Because the payout depends on the round difference on the opening map, not the match winner, even a close map can land on the M80 side.
The title names a round handicap on Map 1: G2 at -6.5 and M80 at +6.5. Under the market rules, G2 must finish Map 1 ahead by seven or more rounds for the market to resolve to G2; any smaller margin, including an M80 win, sends it to M80. The match is listed for June 6 at 8:45 AM ET, and the resolution is tied to the official Map 1 round score from HLTV.
Counter-Strike maps can swing sharply depending on the veto, side selection, and how competitive the teams look on a single map, so there is real uncertainty even when one roster is favored overall. G2 and M80 come from different tiers of the scene, but the market is not asking who is the better team in general; it is asking whether G2 can create a wide enough gap on one map to clear a 6.5-round handicap. That makes the question sensitive to map pool fit, early momentum, and whether the game stays close into the late rounds.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 specifically can move this market: the revealed map veto, who starts on the stronger side, and whether either roster shows lineup changes or role adjustments before the match. In esports, a team can be favored to win yet still fail to cover a large round spread if the map becomes grindy, goes to overtime, or ends with a narrow scoreline. Because the cutoff is seven rounds, even one or two round swings in expected competitiveness matter a lot.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check that Map 1 is actually played to completion and that the final round score is recorded on the official HLTV match page, since the rules say this market follows rounds played rather than the overall series result. If the map is decided by forfeit, walkover, disqualification, or never gets completed, the market goes 50-50 instead of settling on either team. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether the match is delayed or altered enough that Map 1 does not finish within the resolution window, because the rules also specify a 50-50 result if the match is canceled or pushed beyond seven days without a completed Map 1.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2
0%
M80
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and M80 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 8:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 1 exceeds M80's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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