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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-9.5) vs M80 (+9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market is about a very specific CS2 handicap on Map 1 of G2 vs. M80 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because it depends only on the first map’s round margin, it can be decided long before the full match result matters, which makes map picks, side balance, and blowout potential especially important.
The question is whether G2 will win Map 1 by 10 or more rounds against M80 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 match, which was scheduled for June 6 at 8:45 AM ET. The label is a round handicap: G2 must finish Map 1 ahead by at least 10 rounds for the market to resolve to G2; any smaller margin, including an M80 map win, resolves to M80. The market is independent of the overall match winner and uses the completed Map 1 round score as the key outcome.
A CS2 map handicap can swing on draft, map pool fit, momentum, and whether one team can keep rounds close on its own pick or on a neutral map. G2 is a well-known top-tier organization, while M80 is the underdog here, so the market is really asking whether the first map will be competitive or one-sided enough to clear a double-digit margin.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 specifically can move this market: the announced map veto, the opening map being a comfort pick for either side, or roster/stand-in changes that affect coordination on the day. Live in-match factors matter even more here than for a simple match winner market, because a fast CT side, pistol-round swings, or a lopsided half can quickly make a 10-round spread look reachable or impossible.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important check is the official Map 1 final score from HLTV, since the rules say the market resolves from rounds actually played and not from who wins the series. Readers should verify whether Map 1 was completed normally, because forfeits, walkovers, disqualifications, cancellations, or a delay beyond seven days can trigger a 50-50 resolution instead. If the match order, map veto, or broadcast timing changes, those details matter less than whether Map 1 reaches a final round score that can be confirmed from the official source.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-9.5) vs M80 (+9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2
0%
M80
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and M80 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 8:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 1 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 1 exceeds M80's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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