esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $78.7 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$78.7
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+49.5%
High
100%
Low
50.5%
Legacy moved from 50.5% to 100% over the last week, trading between 50.5% and 100%.
Legacy price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market tracks the opening map of a Counter-Strike match between Legacy and FlyQuest at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because the wager is based only on the Map 1 round margin, it can be decided long before the full series is over, which makes the first map especially important to watch.
The question here is not who wins the match, but whether Legacy finishes Map 1 ahead by 4 or more rounds. If Legacy wins Map 1 by that margin, including overtime, the market resolves to Legacy; otherwise it resolves to FlyQuest. The match was scheduled for June 6 at 1:30 PM ET, and the official source for the result is HLTV, with a fallback rule if final results are not posted in time.
Legacy and FlyQuest are both being judged through a very specific scoreline filter, so even a narrow map can flip the outcome away from the map winner itself. That creates room for disagreement over how decisive the first map will be, especially in a tournament setting like IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 where preparation, vetoes, and form on the day can shape the opening map’s round spread. The market is effectively pricing whether Legacy can create a cushion of at least four rounds on Map 1.
The biggest price movers are the official map veto, the chosen Map 1 battleground, and any confirmed roster or stand-in changes before the match. Once Map 1 starts, early round control, pistol-round outcomes, and whether the game looks like a close exchange or a lopsided finish will matter most for this specific handicap. If the map goes to overtime, the extra rounds still count toward the final margin, which can materially change the result.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, check that Map 1 was actually played to completion and that the final round score is available from HLTV, since the rule depends on rounds played rather than the match winner. If the map is not completed, is decided by forfeit or default, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond the stated window without a completed Map 1, the market resolves 50-50. Readers should also verify whether any official result is posted within the two-hour reporting window described in the rules, because that determines how the fallback process is handled.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $78.7 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Legacy
100%
FlyQuest
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Legacy and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 1:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Legacy's round total on Map 1 exceeds FlyQuest's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FlyQuest". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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