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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $916.8 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$916.8
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
0%
High
0.5%
Low
0.5%
Legacy moved from 0.5% to 0.5% over the last hour, trading between 0.5% and 0.5%.
Legacy price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market is about the opening map in a Counter-Strike meeting between Legacy and MIBR at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The question is not who wins the match, but whether Legacy can cover a 3.5-round handicap on Map 1, which makes the exact round margin the key detail.
The title refers to the Map 1 round score in Legacy vs. MIBR, scheduled for June 6 at 8:30 AM ET. If Legacy wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, the market resolves to Legacy; otherwise it resolves to MIBR, even if Legacy wins the map by a smaller margin or loses it outright. The match is part of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, and the market only cares about the completed round total on the first map.
Map handicaps are often more about the expected gap between teams than about the match winner itself. A close map, overtime, or a narrow win for either side changes the outcome here, so the market is really pricing whether Legacy can keep Map 1 within three rounds of MIBR. The listed prices show a strong lean toward MIBR covering the handicap, but the actual result still depends on how the first map unfolds round by round.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 can move this market, especially map vetoes, server-side side selection, and last-minute roster news before the match starts. Because the rule is based only on Map 1 rounds, a single early lead, a lopsided half, or overtime potential matters more here than the eventual match winner. In Counter-Strike, patch or meta shifts can also matter indirectly by affecting which teams are stronger on the specific map chosen first.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the official Map 1 final score from HLTV, since that is the stated source of truth for resolution. Readers should check that Map 1 is actually played to completion, because if the map is not finished, ends by forfeit/default, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond the rule window, this market resolves 50-50 instead of to either team. The deadline to keep in mind is the scheduled June 6 start, with a fallback if Map 1 is not completed within 7 days of that date.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $916.8 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Legacy
0%
MIBR
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Legacy and MIBR in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 8:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Legacy's round total on Map 1 exceeds MIBR's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIBR". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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