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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
0%
High
100%
Low
100%
MIBR moved from 100% to 100% over the last hour, trading between 100% and 100%.
MIBR price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market is about the first map of MIBR vs. Legacy at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with the outcome determined only by the Map 1 round difference. The date and scheduled start matter because this is tied to a specific stage of a major Counter-Strike event, where map choice, form, and preparation can shape one map far more than the full series.
The question here is not who wins the match, but whether MIBR wins Map 1 by at least four rounds. If MIBR’s Map 1 round total ends four or more ahead of Legacy’s, the market resolves to MIBR; otherwise it resolves to Legacy, even if MIBR wins the map by a smaller margin or loses the map outright. The market also has special handling for edge cases: if Map 1 is not completed by actual rounds played, or if the match is canceled or delayed too long, it resolves 50-50 instead.
A one-map round handicap can be much tighter than a simple match winner market, because it asks how dominant the opening map is likely to be rather than who advances. In Counter-Strike, that difference can hinge on vetoes, side balance, and whether one team has a strong map pick or a clear edge in opening duels and utility usage. That is why two teams in the same match can produce very different expectations for a map spread versus a straight win.
The biggest drivers are the map veto and any evidence about which side should own Map 1, since a comfortable map pick makes a -3.5 handicap more plausible. Roster changes, stand-ins, role shifts, or late lineup adjustments can matter a lot in esports because they can affect pistol rounds, mid-round calling, and how well a team converts close rounds into a wider margin. Patch changes and tournament-stage pressure can also matter, especially if they influence the current meta or whether a team tends to start slowly on opening maps.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is HLTV, which the rules name for final results, so readers should verify the official Map 1 score there if the match is played. Because this market depends only on rounds actually played on Map 1, it is important to check whether the map was completed normally or whether any forfeit, walkover, default, or cancellation affected the result. The scheduled deadline is June 6 at 10:00AM ET, but the resolution rules also matter if the match slips or if Map 1 is not finished within the allowed window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
MIBR
100%
Legacy
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 10:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. MIBR's round total on Map 1 exceeds Legacy's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Legacy". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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