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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Legacy (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
5%
Change
0%
High
5%
Low
5%
MIBR moved from 5% to 5% over the last week, trading between 5% and 5%.
MIBR price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market is about whether MIBR can win Map 1 against Legacy by a wide enough margin in their IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 match. Because the contract is tied only to the first map’s round differential, the result can differ from the overall match winner and is especially sensitive to map choice, pistol-round swings, and late-map momentum.
The specific question is simple: on Map 1 of MIBR vs Legacy, does MIBR finish at least 7 rounds ahead of Legacy, or not? The match is listed for June 6 at 10:00 AM ET, and the market resolves from the final Map 1 round score only. If MIBR wins by 7 or more rounds, it resolves to MIBR; otherwise, it resolves to Legacy.
In Counter-Strike, a team can look strong overall without covering a rounds handicap on a single map, so this market is really about margin, not just victory. That creates uncertainty because map selection, side balance, overtime, and even a close second-half comeback can change whether the 6.5-round threshold is cleared. Readers watching this market are mainly trying to judge how lopsided Map 1 is likely to be, not just who advances in the match.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1’s scoreline can move this market: the confirmed map veto, any roster or substitution news before the match, and whether either team is favored on a particular map in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 format. If the selected map is one where MIBR traditionally plays better, the market can lean toward the handicap being covered; if Legacy gets a favorable map or a strong side start, the opposite becomes more likely. Since the settlement depends on round difference, early scoreboard swings and overtime potential matter more here than they would in a simple match-winner market.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, readers should verify that Map 1 is actually played to completion and that the final score is recorded by HLTV, since the rules rely on official results from hltv.org. The key ambiguity risks are forfeits, walkovers, disqualifications, cancellations, or a match delayed beyond seven days without a completed Map 1, all of which would force a 50-50 resolution. It is also worth checking that the round total reflects only Map 1 and not the rest of the series, because later maps do not affect this contract.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Legacy (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
MIBR
0%
Legacy
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 10:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. MIBR's round total on Map 1 exceeds Legacy's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Legacy". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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