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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 37%, $927.3 in 24h volume, and $12.7K in liquidity.
Probability
37%
24h Volume
$927.3
Liquidity
$12.7K
This market is about the round margin on Map 1 of B8 vs MIBR at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, not about who wins the series. Because the settlement depends only on the first map’s final round score, small swings in the opening map matter more here than the overall match result.
The question is whether B8 will win Map 1 by at least 4 rounds, or whether MIBR will avoid that margin. The match is listed for June 8 at 8:00 AM ET, and the market resolves from the Map 1 score only, including overtime if it happens. The key detail is that this is a handicap market: B8 must clear the -3.5 line, while MIBR cashes if B8 wins by 3 rounds or fewer, loses, or if Map 1 does not produce a normal completed round score.
B8 and MIBR are two teams whose Map 1 performance can be hard to pin down before the first pistol round is played, especially in a major-stage setting where map vetoes, preparation, and early momentum can change the shape of a map. The market is pricing a fairly specific question: not “who is better overall,” but whether B8 can create enough separation on the opening map to cover a four-round margin. That distinction matters because in Counter-Strike, a team can lose the match or even play a close map while still failing this spread by just a few rounds.
Any information about the map veto can matter, because the chosen map strongly affects round margins and can favor one team’s style more than the other’s. Lineup or role changes, if officially announced before the match, can also shift expectations because a different stand-in, coach, or roster configuration may change how stable a team looks on its best or weakest map. During the match itself, pistol-round results, early economy control, and whether the game looks like a blowout versus a long grind are the most direct drivers of this handicap.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 37% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is that Map 1 is actually played to completion, because the rules say a forfeit, default, walkover, non-completed map, or cancellation can force a 50-50 result. Readers should also check the official HLTV match page for the final Map 1 round score, since that is the source of truth for settlement unless HLTV has not posted final results in time. The end date on the page is June 8, so the relevant ambiguity is whether the match happens on schedule and whether Map 1 reaches a full official finish before any later disruption.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 37%, $927.3 in 24h volume, and $12.7K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
B8
36.5%
MIBR
63.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between B8 and MIBR in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. B8's round total on Map 1 exceeds MIBR's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIBR". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 37%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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