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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 44%, $7.2K in 24h volume, and $58.4K in liquidity.
Probability
44%
24h Volume
$7.2K
Liquidity
$58.4K
This market is about the first map in a scheduled Counter-Strike match between MIBR and B8 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because the bet is only on Map 1, the key question is not who wins the series, but which team starts the match stronger on the opening map.
The title points to MIBR vs B8, with resolution tied specifically to the Round 4 match at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially listed for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. The market resolves to MIBR if MIBR win Map 1, and to B8 if B8 win Map 1; if Map 1 is not completed, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days without play beginning, it resolves 50-50.
Even when two teams are matched on the same stage, the first map can be affected by veto order, map comfort, warm-up, and how each roster handles the opening pressure of a major event. In Counter-Strike, a team can be favored in the series overall while still being vulnerable on a specific map, so the market is really pricing the uncertainty around the map pool and the opening game state rather than the full match outcome.
Anything that changes expectations for the opening map can move this market: the announced map veto, which side each team gets on the chosen map, confirmed roster changes, or credible signs that one team is especially comfortable on the map selected. If the match is postponed, rescheduled, or map one starts looking delayed or unfinished, that can also matter because the rules explicitly cover incomplete maps and no-shows differently from a completed map result.
The current market price implies roughly a 44% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the official match result on HLTV, since that is the stated resolution source, with a fallback to credible reporting only if HLTV has not posted final results within two hours of the event ending. Readers should also check whether Map 1 was actually completed, because a finished series is not required for resolution if the first map has a winner, and they should note the seven-day cutoff if the match is not played on schedule.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 44%, $7.2K in 24h volume, and $58.4K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
MIBR
44%
B8
56%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MIBR and B8 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win Map 1 against B8. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win Map 1 against MIBR. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 44%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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