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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, and $7.3K in liquidity.
Probability
48%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$7.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
48%
Change
0%
High
48%
Low
48%
Over moved from 48% to 48% over the full available history, trading between 48% and 48%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market asks whether Map 3 of MIBR vs. B8 at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 will end with more than 21.5 total rounds. Because it is tied to a single map, it is mainly a read on how competitive that decider map becomes rather than on which team wins the series. The start time listed is June 8 at 8:00 AM ET, and the page notes that overtime counts toward the round total.
The event is the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and B8 in IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with the market resolved only by the number of rounds played on Map 3. If the map finishes with 22 or more rounds, the result is Over; if it ends with 21 or fewer, it is Under. The rules also say that a completed map decided by rounds played counts even if the rest of the match later ends by forfeit or default, while an unplayed or incomplete Map 3 resolves 50-50.
A round total like 21.5 sits right on the line between a short map and a close one, so small differences in map vetoes, side strength, pistol-round swings, and overtime can matter a lot. In Counter-Strike, a map that reaches 13-8 or 13-9 already lands near this threshold, while a 13-10, 13-11, or any overtime pushes the total higher. That is why the market is really pricing the chance that Map 3 becomes a straightforward finish versus a longer, back-and-forth decider.
The biggest price movers are the map veto and any signs about which side each team is likely to start on, because a favorable map can shorten or extend the round count quickly. Roster changes, stand-ins, or role shifts can also matter in esports markets like this, since they can affect consistency, clutch play, and how often rounds go to the wire. If the match format, schedule, or officiating status changes in a way that threatens whether Map 3 is actually played to completion, that would matter too because the resolution rules treat incomplete or defaulted maps differently.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 48% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, the key thing to verify is that Map 3 is actually played to completion and that the final round score is the official one used for resolution. The source of truth is the completed third map in the MIBR vs. B8 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, not the overall series winner. Readers should also watch for any delay, cancellation, or unusual match-ending ruling, since the rules say those scenarios can force a 50-50 resolution instead of an Over or Under result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, and $7.3K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
48%
Under
52%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and B8 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 48%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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