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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $455.8 in 24h volume, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$455.8
Liquidity
$2.5K
This market is about the first map of a Counter-Strike match between BIG and MIBR at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with the handicap set at BIG -3.5 rounds. In plain terms, it is asking whether BIG will finish Map 1 at least four rounds ahead after the map is actually played to completion.
The event is the BIG vs. MIBR match in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30 AM ET. Resolution depends only on Map 1’s final round score, not on who wins the map or the series overall. BIG resolves as the winner if it outscors MIBR by 4 or more rounds on Map 1, while any smaller margin, or a MIBR win, resolves to MIBR under this handicap line.
Handicap markets on a single CS map are often close to the edge because one half, one force-buy swing, or one overtime can change the margin even when the match outcome feels settled. BIG and MIBR are both established Counter-Strike names, but this page is specifically about the map-level round differential, which is why the market is focused on how one map starts rather than who advances in the match. The live book is heavily tilted toward BIG, which suggests traders expect a clear Map 1 margin rather than a tight finish.
Anything that changes the expected Map 1 round margin can move this market: the announced map veto, a late roster change, or confirmation of a stand-in can all affect how wide the scoreline looks. In a tournament setting like IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, prep time, map pool strength, and how each team performs on its preferred picks matter a lot because this market is tied only to the opening map. If the match format or server-side details make Map 1 unusually volatile, that can also affect expectations for a 3.5-round handicap.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are the official match start time, the final Map 1 score, and whether Map 1 is completed by rounds actually played. The rules are explicit that a forfeit, default, walkover, cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days without a completed Map 1 sends the market to 50-50, so those edge cases matter as much as the score itself. The stated source of truth is HLTV, so readers should check the official match page there for the completed Map 1 result and any ruling notes if the match does not finish normally.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $455.8 in 24h volume, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
BIG
99.6%
MIBR
0.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between BIG and MIBR in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. BIG's round total on Map 1 exceeds MIBR's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIBR". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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