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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the first map in the Counter-Strike match between BIG and MIBR at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the match, but whether BIG can win Map 1 by at least 7 rounds, which is a much steeper margin than a simple map victory.
The title sets a round handicap on Map 1: BIG (-6.5) versus MIBR (+6.5). Under the rules, the market resolves to BIG only if BIG’s Map 1 round total is at least seven higher than MIBR’s; any smaller margin, including a narrow BIG win, sends it to MIBR. The match is scheduled for June 7 at 9:30 AM ET, and the outcome is tied strictly to the completed round score on Map 1, not the overall series result.
Handicap markets like this focus on margin, which matters in esports because map vetoes, side starts, and momentum can produce very different scorelines even between closely matched teams. BIG and MIBR are both established Counter-Strike names, but this specific market is asking whether one side can separate by a wide enough gap on the opening map to clear the -6.5 line. That leaves room for disagreement over whether the map will be close, one-sided, or decided in regulation versus overtime.
The biggest price movers are the actual Map 1 rounds as they come in, especially whether either team builds a lead large enough to threaten a 7-round margin. Before the match, map veto information, roster availability, and any last-minute substitutions matter because they can change which maps are likely to be picked and how lopsided the opener might be. If the match format or schedule changes, or if Map 1 is delayed, forfeited, or not played to completion, that also directly affects resolution under the market rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Map 1 is completed and that the final score is recorded in official match results from HLTV, since that is the stated resolution source. If Map 1 ends by forfeit, default, walkover, or any outcome short of a full round-by-round finish, the market does not resolve to either side and instead goes 50-50 under the rules. It is also worth checking the scheduled time and whether the match is still on track to finish within the seven-day window, because a cancellation or long delay changes the fallback outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
BIG
0%
MIBR
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between BIG and MIBR in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. BIG's round total on Map 1 exceeds MIBR's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIBR". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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