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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $3.7K in 24h volume, and $9.8K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$9.8K
This market is about the opening map of a Counter-Strike match between MIBR and BIG at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because the payout depends only on the Map 1 round margin, even a close map can flip the outcome here without affecting the rest of the series.
The question is whether MIBR will win Map 1 by at least 4 rounds, or whether BIG will keep the margin to 3 rounds or fewer. The match is listed for June 7 at 9:30 AM ET, and the resolution is tied to the actual Map 1 round score rather than the match winner or the series result. If Map 1 is not completed in regulation/overtime rounds because of a forfeit, cancellation, default, or a long delay, the market can resolve 50-50 under the stated rules.
Handicap markets like this create uncertainty because a team can win a map while still failing to cover a round spread. In esports, map-by-map margins are shaped by side selection, vetoes, player form, and how well each team handles the specific map pool and economy swings. Here, the disagreement is not about who is stronger overall, but about whether MIBR can separate by four rounds or more on the first map.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 specifically can move this market, especially confirmed map vetoes, starting sides, or lineup changes before the match begins. If the opening map is one where MIBR is usually comfortable, or if BIG’s best maps are removed in vetoes, the handicap becomes more plausible; the opposite would favor the underdog side of the spread. During play, a fast pistol conversion, a strong CT side, or repeated eco-round losses can quickly widen or shrink the margin even if the eventual map winner seems clear.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are the official match start, the final Map 1 score, and whether the map was completed through normal play or ended by a non-standard result. The market says HLTV is the resolution source, so the final Map 1 result on HLTV should be the main reference point, with the fallback only relevant if final results are not posted promptly. Readers should also check that the match did not change format, get delayed past the 7-day window, or end in a way that would trigger the market’s 50-50 rule.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $3.7K in 24h volume, and $9.8K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
MIBR
0.1%
BIG
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. MIBR's round total on Map 1 exceeds BIG's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BIG". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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