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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $549.7 in 24h volume, and $2.6K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$549.7
Liquidity
$2.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-49%
High
50%
Low
0.5%
Over moved from 49.5% to 0.5% over the last month, trading between 0.5% and 50%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market is about how long Map 1 lasts in the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and BIG at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the map, but whether the first map finishes with more than 21.5 total rounds played, which makes the round count itself the deciding factor.
The event is the Map 1 total rounds line for MIBR vs. BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, scheduled for June 7 at 9:30 AM ET. The only thing that matters here is the combined number of rounds played on the first map: Over means 22 or more rounds, Under means 21 or fewer, and a 21-round total would be exactly on the line if the market rules called for a split. The market also says that if Map 1 is not completed through actual play, or if the match is decided by forfeit, walkover, disqualification, or default instead of rounds played, the result is 50-50.
A total-rounds market is useful because Counter-Strike maps can end quickly if one side dominates, or stretch longer when teams trade rounds and force overtime. MIBR and BIG are established international teams, and in a tournament setting like IEM Cologne, the map length can be shaped by the veto, the chosen battleground, and how closely matched the two squads look on the day. The disagreement priced here is simply whether Map 1 will be a short, one-sided map or a fuller contest that clears the 21.5-round threshold.
The biggest price movers are roster and lineup news, especially if either team is using a substitute or making a last-minute change before map start. The map veto and the specific Map 1 selection also matter a lot, since some maps historically tend to produce more close, round-trading games than others. Any sign that the match could be shortened, delayed, or decided without a completed Map 1 would push attention toward the market’s 50-50 resolution rules rather than the round total itself.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should verify that Map 1 is actually played to completion and that the final round count comes from the official match result, not from a forfeit or default. The scheduled end time is June 7 at 19:30 UTC, and the rule also says the market goes 50-50 if the match is canceled or if Map 1 is not completed within seven days of the scheduled date. The main source of truth is the completed Map 1 scoreline, so the important ambiguity to watch for is whether the map reaches a normal finish with an official round total.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $549.7 in 24h volume, and $2.6K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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