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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, and $658.8 in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$658.8
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-49.5%
High
50%
Low
0.5%
Over moved from 50% to 0.5% over the last week, trading between 0.5% and 50%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks a narrow but important CS2 question: how many rounds will Map 1 between MIBR and BIG last at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because it is tied to a single map rather than the match result, the outcome depends on map competitiveness, not which team advances or wins overall. The current market is strongly tilted toward Under, which signals an expectation of a fairly short map.
The event is the Counter-Strike 2 match between MIBR and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, scheduled for June 7 at 9:30 AM ET. Resolution depends only on the total rounds played in Map 1, counting both teams’ rounds on that map and including overtime if it happens. If Map 1 reaches 25 total rounds or more, the market resolves Over; if it finishes at 24 rounds or fewer, it resolves Under.
A single CS2 map can end quickly if one team controls the tempo, wins early gun rounds, or builds a large lead on either side of the half. But close maps can reach 24 rounds in regulation or go into overtime, which makes the 24.5 line a meaningful cutoff for anyone watching map length rather than the match winner. The disagreement here is about whether MIBR and BIG will produce a tight opener or a decisive one.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 1 competitiveness can move this market: the announced map pool, veto patterns, roster availability, and whether either team tends to start strong on the opening map. In a CS2 setting, recent form, side balance on the chosen map, and any late lineup change can matter a lot because they affect whether the map is likely to end 13-6, 13-10, or something closer to 16-14 or beyond. If the match format or scheduled start changes, that also matters because the rules say the market depends on Map 1 being played to completion.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is that Map 1 is actually played to a completed final score, because a forfeit, default, walkover, disqualification, cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days can make the market resolve 50-50 instead of Over or Under. Readers should also pay attention to the official match page or tournament result source for the final Map 1 round count, since that is the only source that matters for settlement. If overtime is played, those extra rounds count toward the total, so the final map score—not just regulation score—is what determines the result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, and $658.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MIBR and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 24.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 24.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 24.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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