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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs Monte (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5.7K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+50%
High
100%
Low
50%
Monte moved from 50% to 100% over the last 6 hours, trading between 50% and 100%.
Monte price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about the first map of a Counter-Strike match between Legacy and Monte at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The only thing that matters here is the round margin on Map 1, not who wins the map or the match overall. Because the result depends on a specific map score and the possibility of overtime, this kind of market is especially sensitive to a close first map or a lopsided opening start.
The question is whether Legacy will beat Monte by at least 7 rounds on Map 1. If Legacy’s Map 1 round total is 7 or more higher than Monte’s, the market resolves to Legacy; otherwise it resolves to Monte. The match was scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET, and the market uses official results from HLTV as the source of truth.
A round handicap market like this separates map dominance from the simpler question of who advances or wins the series. In Counter-Strike, a team can win a map without covering a large round spread, especially if the game is competitive or goes to overtime, so the exact margin is uncertain even when the favorite in the matchup is clearer. That makes the first map score the key point of disagreement, not just the series outcome.
Any information about the Map 1 veto, the chosen opening map, or roster availability can matter because some maps are much more one-sided than others. A fast start by either side, a close trading pattern through the early rounds, or overtime on Map 1 would all change the likelihood of a 7-round margin. Since the market is based only on Map 1, later maps, the series result, or even a later forfeit do not matter once Map 1 has been completed to a final round score.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore this market resolves, the main things to verify are that Map 1 was actually played to completion and that HLTV posts the final Map 1 score. The rules say that if the map is not completed, is decided by forfeit, walkover, default, or the match is delayed too long without Map 1 finishing, the market resolves 50-50 instead of to either team. Readers should also check that the score reflects rounds actually played, including overtime if it happens, because that determines whether Legacy covered the -6.5 handicap.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs Monte (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5.7K in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Legacy
0%
Monte
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Legacy and Monte in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Legacy's round total on Map 1 exceeds Monte's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Monte". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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