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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-9.5) vs Monte (+9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, and $5.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5.9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-0.1%
High
0.5%
Low
0.5%
Legacy moved from 0.5% to 0.5% over the last hour, trading between 0.5% and 0.5%.
Legacy price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about the first map of a Counter-Strike 2 match between Legacy and Monte at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the match, but whether Legacy can win Map 1 by 10 or more rounds on the official round score line.
The title, “Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-9.5) vs Monte (+9.5),” means the market is settled by the margin on the opening map only. If Legacy finishes Map 1 ahead by 10 rounds or more, the market resolves to Legacy; otherwise it resolves to Monte. The match was initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET, and the result is tied to that specific map in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 bracket.
A large round handicap creates a different question from a simple match-winner bet, because a close win, an overtime map, or even a loss can still land on Monte if Legacy does not clear the 9.5-round threshold. In Counter-Strike, map scorelines can swing sharply with side selection, veto outcomes, and team form, so the market is really pricing whether Legacy can produce a dominant opening map rather than just a better overall performance.
Anything that changes expectations for the first map can move this market, especially roster availability, map veto implications, and how the teams match up on likely picks. Because the settlement depends only on Map 1 rounds, an unexpected map selection, a lopsided pistol-round start, or a long overtime battle would matter more here than the final match result. The live market also shows very heavy leaning toward Monte and a tight best ask, which suggests traders are focused on how hard it may be for Legacy to win by double digits.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Map 1 is actually played to completion, because the rules say a forfeit, walkover, default, or unfinished map would resolve the market 50-50 instead of by score. The official source of truth is HLTV, and if HLTV has not posted final results within two hours after the event ends, the market falls back to a consensus process. The most important details to check are the official Map 1 final score, whether overtime happened, and whether the match stayed on schedule or was delayed beyond the seven-day cutoff.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-9.5) vs Monte (+9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, and $5.9K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Legacy
0.5%
Monte
99.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Legacy and Monte in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins Map 1 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Legacy's round total on Map 1 exceeds Monte's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Monte". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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