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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
95%
Change
+45%
High
95%
Low
50%
Legacy moved from 50% to 95% over the last 6 hours, trading between 50% and 95%.
Legacy price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market tracks the first map of a Counter-Strike 2 match between Monte and Legacy at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because the bet is tied to the Map 1 round margin rather than the match winner, even a close map can decide the outcome here.
The question is whether Monte will beat Legacy by at least 4 rounds on Map 1, or whether Legacy will finish within 3 rounds of Monte. The match was initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30 AM ET, and the resolution depends only on the final Map 1 round score, including overtime if it happens.
Map handicaps create uncertainty because a team can lose the map and still cover, or win the map without clearing the handicap. In a tournament like IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, map choice, veto order, and each team’s comfort on the opening map can matter as much as the overall match result, which is why the round spread is a separate question from the winner.
Anything that clarifies the map, lineups, or start status can move this market, especially news about roster substitutions, delays, or a change in the first map. Once the map is live, the price can swing quickly with early round counts, pistol rounds, and whether the game looks headed for a blowout or a one-possession finish on rounds.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check the official Map 1 round score on HLTV, since that is the stated resolution source. The market only resolves from a completed Map 1 played to a final round score; if the map is never completed, is decided by forfeit/default, or the match is canceled or pushed beyond the deadline without Map 1 finishing, the market resolves 50-50. If HLTV has not posted final results within the stated post-event window, the market description allows a consensus fallback, so readers should verify which source is being used if the result is delayed.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketTrack live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Monte
0%
Legacy
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Monte and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Monte's round total on Map 1 exceeds Legacy's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Legacy". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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