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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $992K in 24h volume, and $369.7K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$992K
Liquidity
$369.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+64.5%
High
100%
Low
21%
Monte moved from 35.5% to 100% over the last 6 hours, trading between 21% and 100%.
Monte price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market is about a best-of-one Counter-Strike match between Monte and Legacy in Round 3 of IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Because BO1 matches can swing on a few early rounds, pistol outcomes, and map-specific comfort, the result can be more volatile than a longer series, which is why this matchup is worth watching closely.
The event is the Monte vs Legacy match scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET in IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The market resolves to Monte if Monte win the match, or Legacy if Legacy win; if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. The resolution source is official information from HLTV, with credible reporting or video evidence allowed if final results are not posted there within two hours after the event ends.
This is an elimination-style tournament setting where one result can change a team’s path through the stage, so there is real uncertainty even when one side looks stronger on paper. Monte and Legacy are the named teams in the title, and the BO1 format matters because a single map leaves less room to recover from a slow start or an awkward veto. The market is pricing a clear favorite, but the actual match still depends on who adapts better on the day.
Roster changes, late substitutions, or any update that affects the starting lineup can move expectations quickly, especially in a single-map match. The map selection is also important: if one team lands on a comfort pick or avoids an opponent’s strongest map, that can shift the outlook before the server goes live. Anything indicating a walkover risk, delay, or official schedule change can matter too, because the contract has specific 50-50 rules for canceled or unresolved matches.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, check whether the match is actually played, whether it finishes normally, and whether HLTV posts the final result within the expected window. The key resolution details are the official match outcome, the scheduled June 7 start time, and the special treatment for ties, cancellations, forfeits, disqualifications, and delays beyond seven days. Readers should also note that the market is tied to the real-world Monte vs Legacy match itself, so minor naming differences do not change the outcome if the underlying teams are clearly the same.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $992K in 24h volume, and $369.7K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Monte
100%
Legacy
0.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Monte and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against Legacy. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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