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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 65%, $61.2 in 24h volume, and $840.1 in liquidity.
Probability
65%
24h Volume
$61.2
Liquidity
$840.1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
35%
Change
+2%
High
35%
Low
33%
Under moved from 33% to 35% over the full available history, trading between 33% and 35%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market asks a very specific question about the opening map in Spirit vs. 9z at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2: will Map 1 go past 18.5 total rounds? In Counter-Strike, that means the map needs to end 10-9 or longer, with overtime counting toward the total if it happens. Because the decision is based only on Map 1 rounds, the overall match winner does not matter for this market.
The matchup is Spirit against 9z in Stage 2 of IEM Cologne, with the match initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET. Resolution depends on the final round count on Map 1 only: if both teams combine for more than 18 rounds, the market resolves Over; if they combine for fewer than 19, it resolves Under; and an exact 18.5 is handled as a 50-50 split under the market rules. If Map 1 is not completed normally, or if the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days without a finished Map 1, the market settles 50-50.
Round totals in Counter-Strike are often driven by map vetoes, team styles, and how close the opening map becomes before either side pulls away. A short, one-sided map can finish well below 18.5 rounds, while a tight map that reaches overtime can push the total far above that line. The market is essentially pricing the chance that Spirit and 9z produce a competitive opener rather than a quick 13-5 or 13-7 type result.
Anything that changes expectations for a close Map 1 can move this market, especially the map veto and which side gets picked first. Roster news, late substitutions, or a change in a team’s comfort on the likely opening map can also matter because they affect how competitive the map is expected to be. Since overtime counts, signals that the teams are evenly matched on the chosen map can push sentiment toward Over, while a strong favorite on a map it controls cleanly tends to favor Under.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 65% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are that the match actually starts as scheduled, that Map 1 is played to completion, and that the final round total is recorded from official match results rather than from any later map or match outcome. Readers should pay attention to the map veto and whether either team fields a substitute, because those details can affect how this opening map plays out. If the match is delayed, canceled, or decided by forfeit or default before a completed Map 1, the rules say the market does not resolve on rounds played and instead goes 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 65%, $61.2 in 24h volume, and $840.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
65%
Under
35%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 18.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 18.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 18.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 65%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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