
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 38%, $245 in 24h volume, and $4.4K in liquidity.
Probability
38%
24h Volume
$245
Liquidity
$4.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
37.5%
Change
0%
High
37.5%
Low
37.5%
Over moved from 37.5% to 37.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 37.5% and 37.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market is about the length of Map 1 in the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with the line set at 21.5 total rounds. That makes the key question not who wins the map, but whether the first map finishes quickly or goes long enough to push past the threshold, including overtime if it happens.
The event is the Spirit vs. 9z match in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET. The outcome here is based only on the total number of rounds played in Map 1: 22 or more rounds means Over, 21 or fewer means Under, and exactly 21.5 is split 50-50 under the market rules. If Map 1 is not completed as a normal round-based map, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond the stated window without Map 1 being finished, the market resolves 50-50.
A 21.5-round line sits right near the edge of a regulation Counter-Strike map, so small differences in map balance, veto choices, and early momentum can matter a lot. Spirit and 9z are the named teams because the market is tied to this specific pairing in this specific tournament stage, where the map pool and best-of format shape how likely a close first map is. Readers watching this market are really asking whether Map 1 is likely to end in a short regulation score or drift into a tighter, round-heavy finish.
Changes in the expected map veto can matter a lot, because some maps are more prone to one-sided scores while others more often land near 13-10 or require overtime. Late roster changes, a substitute, or any official team news before the match can also shift expectations if one side’s usual map strength or coordination looks different. As the match gets closer, the most important signal is whether Spirit and 9z are being matched on a map that both teams can contest, since that is the main driver of whether Map 1 reaches 22 total rounds.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 38% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main thing to verify is the official match start time and whether Map 1 is actually played to completion, because the settlement rules depend on completed rounds rather than the match winner. Readers should also check the official tournament match page or organizer result source for the final Map 1 score, since overtime counts toward the total round number. If there is a forfeit, walkover, disqualification, or a cancellation/delay beyond seven days without a completed Map 1, this market does not resolve on the map score and instead goes 50-50 under the posted rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 38%, $245 in 24h volume, and $4.4K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 38%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$10.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
+2%
24h Vol
$582.9
Liquidity
$1.7K
Spread
5%
12/31/2026
View market