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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 81%, $2.9K in 24h volume, and $33.2K in liquidity.
Probability
81%
24h Volume
$2.9K
Liquidity
$33.2K
This market asks a simple question about one specific Counter-Strike map: will Spirit or 9z win Map 1 in their Round 3 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2? Because only the first map counts here, it can be decided before the full match result is known, which makes vetoes, side choice, and early-round form especially relevant.
The event is the Round 3 match between Spirit and 9z at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET. The outcome is not about the series winner, but only about who takes Map 1: if Spirit win the opening map, the market resolves to Spirit; if 9z win it, the market resolves to 9z. If Map 1 is never completed, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days without starting, the market resolves 50-50.
Counter-Strike matches can swing heavily on the first map because map pools, side starts, and team preparation matter a lot at the top level. Spirit and 9z are not interchangeable here: Spirit entering as the favored side reflects the market view that they are the stronger team or better positioned for this opener, while 9z still has a live chance if the map selection favors them or Spirit start slowly.
The biggest price moves would usually come from the official match setup: the map veto, which team gets the better comfort map, and whether the game starts on time. Any roster change, stand-in, last-minute illness, or map-specific edge can matter a lot in a single-map market, especially in a best-of series where Map 1 can be shaped by first-pick strategy. If the match is delayed, paused, or interrupted, the exact completion of Map 1 becomes the key factor because the contract resolves only on a finished opening map.
The current market price implies roughly a 81% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify the official HLTV match page and the final Map 1 result, since HLTV is the stated source of truth for resolution. The most important details are whether Map 1 is actually completed, which side won the opening map, and whether any unusual delay or cancellation triggers the 50-50 fallback. Because the market explicitly allows alternative credible reporting only if HLTV has not posted final results within two hours after the event, the main ambiguity to watch for is not the series score but whether the first map finished cleanly and was officially recorded.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 81%, $2.9K in 24h volume, and $33.2K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Spirit
80.5%
9z
19.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 1 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 81%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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