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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, $608.3 in 24h volume, and $5.1K in liquidity.
Probability
40%
24h Volume
$608.3
Liquidity
$5.1K
This market is about the round margin on Map 2 of Spirit vs. 9z at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET. It does not care who wins the map or the match overall; only the final Map 2 round score matters. Because the handicap is set at 6.5 rounds, even a close one-sided map can flip the outcome here.
The question is whether Spirit will win Map 2 by 7 or more rounds, or whether 9z will keep the margin to 6 rounds or fewer. In plain terms, a result like 13-7, 16-10, or any larger Spirit win would resolve to Spirit, while tighter scores, any 9z win, or anything ending within six rounds of difference would resolve to 9z. The market is tied to this specific Counter-Strike match in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 and uses the Map 2 round total as its only deciding factor.
A map handicap market focuses on margin rather than match winner, so the uncertainty is not just which team advances but how dominant the performance on a single map will be. Spirit and 9z can produce very different-looking maps depending on vetoes, side starts, form, and momentum, which makes a 6.5-round spread meaningful. That is why the market is pricing the chance that Spirit wins Map 2 by a large enough cushion versus 9z keeping the map competitive.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 2 specifically can move this market, especially the map veto and which side each team starts on. News about roster changes, stand-ins, player availability, or a late schedule shift would matter because they can alter how strong either team looks on the second map. In a CS2 event like this, patch or meta shifts matter less minute-to-minute than the actual map pool, but the official map selection and the first map result can still influence expectations for how one-sided Map 2 might be.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 40% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Read the match status carefully: this market resolves only from the completed round score of Map 2, and it is independent of the overall match result. If Map 2 is not played to completion, or if it ends by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than rounds actually played, the market goes to 50-50 under the rules. The official source of truth is HLTV, and the page also notes a fallback if HLTV has not posted final results within 2 hours after the event ends, so readers should check for the final Map 2 score, not just the match winner or a partial update.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, $608.3 in 24h volume, and $5.1K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Spirit
39.5%
9z
60.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins Map 2 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Spirit's round total on Map 2 exceeds 9z's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "9z". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 40%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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