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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 37%, and $5.6K in liquidity.
Probability
37%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
36.5%
Change
-5.5%
High
42%
Low
36.5%
Over moved from 42% to 36.5% over the last week, trading between 36.5% and 42%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about the second map in the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The question is simple: will Map 2 finish with more or fewer than 21.5 total rounds played, counting overtime if needed?
Spirit and 9z are scheduled to meet in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with the market tied specifically to Map 2 of that match. The result depends only on the combined round total on that single map: 22 or more rounds means Over, 21 or fewer means Under, and an exact 21.5 split would be settled 50-50 under the market rules. It does not matter which team wins Map 2 or the overall match, as long as Map 2 is played to completion and produces an official round score.
A 21.5 round line sits near the middle of a standard Counter-Strike map, so the outcome often comes down to whether the map is one-sided or tightly contested. That uncertainty can be shaped by veto decisions, map comfort for Spirit and 9z, and whether the teams trade rounds enough to push the map toward regulation or overtime. Because the market is tied to one specific map rather than the whole match, readers are really weighing map-level pace and competitiveness, not just overall team strength.
The biggest price drivers are the map veto, the map chosen for Map 2, and any roster or role changes that affect each team’s CT/T side strength. A slower, more lopsided map tends to favor Under, while a closely fought map that reaches 13-11, 13-10 in a long back-and-forth, or overtime pushes toward Over. In-play clues such as pistol-round results, early economy control, and whether either side strings together multi-round runs can quickly change expectations for the final round total.
The current market price implies roughly a 37% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketCheck that Map 2 is actually played to completion, since forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, or a match delay beyond seven days can force a 50-50 settlement under the rules. The official source of truth is the completed Map 2 score from the Spirit vs. 9z match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, not the match winner or later maps. If the series format or map order changes, the key question remains the same: how many rounds were played on the second map, including overtime if it happens.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 37%, and $5.6K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
36.5%
Under
63.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 2 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 2, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 37%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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