
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, $1K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Probability
48%
24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$3.1K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
47.5%
Change
-21%
High
68.5%
Low
47.5%
Spirit moved from 68.5% to 47.5% over the full available history, trading between 47.5% and 68.5%.
Spirit price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market is about the map score in a specific Counter-Strike series: Spirit vs. 9z at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key point is not who wins the match, but whether Spirit can win Map 3 by at least 7 rounds, which is a much narrower result than a straight match winner market.
The title, “Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5),” means the settlement depends only on the final round difference on the third map of this match. If Spirit’s Map 3 round total is 7 or more higher than 9z’s, the market resolves to Spirit; otherwise it resolves to 9z. The match is listed for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET, and the official result source is HLTV, with the market using the completed Map 3 score as the deciding factor.
Handicap markets like this focus on margin, not simply victory, so the main uncertainty is how one-sided Map 3 will be if it is played. In Counter-Strike, a team can win a map without covering a large round handicap, especially if the map is close or goes to overtime, which is why a -6.5 line can sit meaningfully apart from a match-winner view. The disagreement here is about whether Spirit’s edge on this map is strong enough to translate into a clear round margin.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 3 specifically can move this market, especially veto information, map pool fit, and whether the series looks likely to reach a decider. Late roster changes, stand-ins, illness, or other lineup changes would matter because they can affect both map strength and round spread. If the first two maps are played, their results can also matter indirectly by revealing team form, confidence, and which side may carry momentum into the decider.
The current market price implies roughly a 48% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, readers should verify that Map 3 is actually played to completion and that the final score is recorded on HLTV. The rules say a completed Map 3 is all that matters, even if the match later ends by forfeit, default, or disqualification, but if Map 3 is not played to a finish, or if the match is canceled or delayed too long, the market resolves 50-50. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether the series reaches a third map at all, and if it does, whether the official published score is a normal round result rather than a non-played or interrupted outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, $1K in 24h volume, and $3.1K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Spirit
47.5%
9z
52.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins Map 3 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Spirit's round total on Map 3 exceeds 9z's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "9z". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 48%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$10.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
+2%
24h Vol
$582.9
Liquidity
$1.7K
Spread
5%
12/31/2026
View market