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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 56%, $7.2K in 24h volume, and $13.2K in liquidity.
Probability
56%
24h Volume
$7.2K
Liquidity
$13.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
43.5%
Change
-2.5%
High
46%
Low
43.5%
Under moved from 46% to 43.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 43.5% and 46%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks a very specific Counter-Strike question: if Spirit and 9z reach Map 3 at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, will that map go past 18.5 total rounds? Because it depends on one map’s final round count, it is driven more by how close the map is than by who ultimately wins the series.
The event is the Spirit vs. 9z match in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET. The settlement is based only on the combined rounds played in Map 3, counting overtime if it happens, and it does not matter which team wins the map or the match overall. If Map 3 is not played to completion, is decided by forfeit or default, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without Map 3 finishing, the market resolves 50-50.
An 18.5-round line sits right on the edge between a very short map and a full regulation map, so the market is essentially pricing whether Map 3 will be a blowout or a tightly contested game. Spirit and 9z are the named teams that make the matchup relevant, and in Counter-Strike the map pool, vetoes, roster form, and overall competitiveness often decide whether a map ends before or after 19 rounds. The uncertainty is not about the series winner alone, but about whether Map 3 stays close enough to push past the threshold.
Anything that changes expectations for how competitive the decider might be can move this market, especially roster news, map veto information, or signs that one side has a strong or weak map in the pool. In a best-of-three format, confirmation that the series has reached Map 3 already matters, but the price can still swing on whether the map is expected to be one-sided or evenly matched. If either team appears to have a major style advantage on the likely decider map, that can pull the total toward Under; a close matchup or overtime potential pushes toward Over.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 56% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check the official match page or tournament results to confirm whether Map 3 was actually played and completed, because that determines whether the round total counts at all. The key source of truth is the final Map 3 score, including overtime rounds, not the match winner or any later administrative result. Readers should also watch for any schedule changes, walkover risk, or cancellation beyond the 7-day window, since those outcomes force a 50-50 resolution instead of Over or Under.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 56%, $7.2K in 24h volume, and $13.2K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
56.5%
Under
43.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 18.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 18.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 18.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 56%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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