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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Probability
46%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
54%
Change
-0.5%
High
54.5%
Low
54%
Under moved from 54.5% to 54% over the last 6 hours, trading between 54% and 54.5%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market is about how long Map 3 of Spirit vs. 9z lasts at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the series, but whether the deciding map goes past 21.5 total rounds, which is a shorthand for a fairly close map in Counter-Strike. That makes it worth watching for anyone following the matchup, veto, and decider-map dynamics in this stage of the event.
The event is the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. This market only cares about Map 3, and only about the combined number of rounds played on that single map, including any overtime rounds. If Map 3 is played to completion, the result is based on the final round count on that map, regardless of which team wins the map or the overall match.
A 21.5-round line sits right on the edge between a quick map and a competitive one, so the market is really pricing how likely this decider is to be one-sided versus tightly contested. In a Counter-Strike Major stage match, that depends on the teams’ relative form, the veto and map pool, and whether the decider map is a comfortable pick for one side or a neutral battleground. Because the match is a best-of series with a possible third map, viewers care not just about the winner but about whether the series reaches a long, regulation-or-overtime decider.
The biggest drivers are the earlier maps in the series, because a one-sided first or second map can hint at momentum, while a split series usually raises the chance that Map 3 goes long. Any roster change, substitute, timeout of a key player, or unexpected map veto can also shift expectations for round count, especially if the decider lands on a map either team strongly prefers. If the match reaches overtime, that will push the total over the line quickly, so close regulation scorelines matter a lot for this market.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 46% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check that Map 3 is actually played to completion, because the market resolves 50-50 if the deciding map is not completed, is decided by forfeit or default, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days without a finished Map 3. The source of truth is the official final score for Map 3: the combined rounds from both teams on that map, including overtime if it happens. One detail to keep in mind is that the market text refers to a 21.5 threshold, so readers should look at the completed map score rather than the match winner when judging the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, and $2.4K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
46%
Under
54%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 46%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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